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<text id=89TT2503>
<title>
Sep. 25, 1989: America Abroad
</title>
<history>
TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--1989
Sep. 25, 1989 Boardwalk Of Broken Dreams
</history>
<article>
<source>Time Magazine</source>
<hdr>
WORLD, Page 37
America Abroad
The Scientist in the Kremlin
</hdr><body>
<p>By Strobe Talbott
</p>
<p> The Baltic republics, it is often said, are the
"laboratory" of Mikhail Gorbachev's experiment in
liberalization. The metaphor captures the exhilaration and
omihnousness of what is happening, both there in the Baltics and
throughout the U.S.S.R. Glasnost, elections and free-market
economics will help save the Soviet system from itself, or the
mixture will explode.
</p>
<p> The citizens of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania love to watch
grainy black-and-white documentary films of what it was like 50
years ago, before their lands were seized by Stalin, invaded by
Hitler, then colonized by the Kremlin. They remember themselves
as having been self-reliant yet outward looking. These are among
the virtues that Gorbachev is now preaching for the Soviet Union
as a whole. He is a Westernizer, in the tradition of an
enlightened but ultimately frustrated school of 19th century
Russian reformers. The Baltics are already the most Westernized
of the 15 Soviet republics, and they are eager to become more
so.
</p>
<p> The Soviet economy, all but bankrupt when Gorbachev came
into office nearly five years ago, has actually deteriorated.
He is beginning to get the blame. He desperately needs to show
that perestroika is working somewhere, and the Baltics may be
the best chance he has.
</p>
<p> Yet the three republics are also the cause of Gorbachev's
greatest anxiety. Thanks to his policies of decentralization
and democratization, the powers that be in the Baltics are
looking less nervously toward Moscow, but they are also
listening far more attentively to their own people.
</p>
<p> Increasingly, Baltic leaders are hearing demands for
"national rights." For some proponents the phrase means full
sovereignty, now. For others it means autonomy within a
radically more lenient U.S.S.R. Estonian officials are busily
planning to introduce their own currency, airline and diplomatic
missions abroad. The so-called popular fronts, with their
platforms calling for regional self-determination, are well on
their way to taking over the power structure. The secessionists
and the federalists disagree about tactics and timetable, but
not about the dream of independence.
</p>
<p> No wonder there is fear and anger in Moscow, particularly
among Gorbachevites. They believe no Kremlin leader can afford
to give up Soviet power, not to mention Soviet territory. Many
American officials share this concern, although they must be
careful about saying so. In a conceit of diplomatic formalism
that until recently seemed quaint and futile, the U.S.
Government has never recognized the legality of the Baltic
annexation. Support for human and civil rights is, or is
certainly supposed to be, a constant of American foreign policy.
</p>
<p> But now there is a new factor: George Bush is a
Gorbachevite himself. He doesn't put it that way, nor does he
like others to do so. But the fact remains that for the first
time in 72 years, the U.S. has a stake in the survival and
success of a particular Soviet leader. Bush does not want to see
the Baltic laboratory blow up any more than do the people who
live there. Therefore, the American President is plugging not
just for the citizens of those tragic republics trapped by
history within the Soviet Union, but also for the extraordinary
scientist mixing his dangerous chemicals in the Kremlin.
</p>
</body></article>
</text>